The 2008 NBA playoffs begin tomorrow. Mine and Stockton's beloved Utah Jazz begin the first round at Houston on Saturday night. While I am an expert on all things Utah Jazz, I am certainly not a playoff prognosticator. Here is on expert predicting what will happen in the NBA playoffs. (Keep in mind this website accurately predicted every game of the Sweet 16, Elite 8, Final Four and Championship of the NCAA tournament.)
Hat tip to whatifsports.com
"Ultimately, the WhatIfSports.com NBA bracket concludes with the Western Conference survivor on top. Utah has the highest chance of winning the tournament at 21.2%. That is not exceptionally high, which is a sign that the playoffs should be great again this year, but the Jazz are the best team in the league. Looking into the numbers, Utah is really good and without an obvious weakness. The Jazz are in the top two in the conference in critical efficiency statistics like field goal percentage, adjusted field goal percentage, field goal percentage margin, rebounding percentage, as well as scoring margin - not to mention third in assist-to-turnover ratio and turnovers forced. With Deron Williams, Ronnie Brewer, Andrei Kirilenko, Carlos Boozer and Mehmet Okur starting and very solid role players like Kyle Korver, Matt Harpring and Paul Millsap coming off the bench, this is an extremely well-crafted team without a redundant player. After the Jazz, four other teams, Boston (12.8%), Phoenix (10.9%), Orlando (10.2%) and Denver (10.0%) are in the double-digit percentages for championship likelihood. The top-seeded Lakers win it all 6.3% of the time, while the defending champion Spurs do it just once every 30 or so times. Every team, including Atlanta, wins the championship at least 0.4% of the time - or at least 40 out of 10,000 tries."
Disclaimer: I am just making this public knowledge. I am not agreeing with it nor bragging about it, and therefore, not incurring the inevitable jinx.
Other disclaimer: This simulation doesn't take into account that God (the whole Mormon thing) and the NBA (Jordan PUSHED OFF!!) hate the Jazz.
8 comments:
YOU ARE HOOP JADED BY THE JAZZ
is there a better way to be?
Jordan was the greatest ever. no question, but he still pushed off.
And I bet Karl Malone didn't throw any elbows and John Stockton didn't "flop" to draw a foul either. There were a hundred other opportunities for Utah to win that game but everyone blames the "push."
Time to stop the whining.
I'm not whining about the one time you beat me in horse (out of 100's).
flopping is a part of basketball as are the occasional inadvertent elbow. if the offensive player can head fake and then jump into the defender (among another of other little tricks like hooking, lowering the shoulder, etc.) then the defender should (at least!) also have adequate tricks to draw from. Stockton isn't nearly as bad as today's flop artists (Ginobili, Baron Davis, Shane Battier)
There were a couple of opportunities for the Jazz to win the game. The referees counted a Ron Harper jump shot as a three when his foot was on the line. And the referees did not allow a Howard Eisley three pointer that was clearly released before the buzzer.
and I've beat you at horse twice (once in Alabama, once at camp...from the HILL!) :)
Still whining...
Hill shots don't count.
Congrats on a great start to the playoffs!! 2-0? Well done, Jazz.
Uh oh... 3-1. So long, Houston (maybe)!
Good luck against the Lakers tomorrow.
P.S. More updates, please. Atlanta, fart jokes in chapel. I could think of plenty of these for you to blog about.
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